Polymarket prices 25% odds frontier AI labs sign joint pacing agreement by end of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-17
Polymarket launched a market pricing a 25% chance that at least two frontier AI labs (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI, Meta) announce a joint pacing agreement by Dec 31, 2026. Qualifying agreements include conditioning training/release on safety requirements, capping training compute, or limiting recursive self-improvement. The thread also cites Sen. Elizabeth Warren demanding an immediate pause on advanced AI development.
Related event: Polymarket Opens Market on Frontier AI Labs Striking a Pacing Agreement(5 posts)→
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