Researcher debunks 'AI builders believe doom' claim: selection effects, not privileged insight
tallinzen · x · 2026-09-17
In a thread responding to a Coxon Daily interview, tallinzen calls the claim that "the people building AI earnestly believe it could kill us all by the end of the decade" false — he talks to AI builders daily and only a small minority believes this. On why doomers are overrepresented at OpenAI and Anthropic, he argues it's selection effects and social contagion, not privileged access: even granting those labs lead by a few months, the same people said the same things years ago when everyone's models were far worse.
Related event: Researcher Pushes Back on AI Doom Claims and Soft Anthropic Interview(2 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- The only AI x-risk happening now is an insidious infection of capital systems — mayfer · 2026-09-17
- Curtis Yarvin: The 'Rogue Agent' Panic Is Negligence Misread as Machine Rebellion — ivan_bezdomny · 2026-09-17
- AI safety movement should learn from environmentalism: offer compelling alternatives before restriction — willcb · 2026-09-17
- PhD Who Chose CS in 2019 to Dodge AI Says 'PhD-Level Math AI' Forecast Was Accurate to the Year — layer07_yuxi · 2026-09-17
- Ethan Mollick: existential AI fears dominate headlines while real-world adoption surges — emollick · 2026-09-17
- Mel Mitchell: HF hackathon agents' 'loyalty' was a product of cooperative RL training — dhadfieldmenell · 2026-09-17