In Dec 2024, AI Researchers Didn't Expect a Millennium Problem Solved Until 2054
Tolopono · reddit · 2026-09-17
Citing the December 2024 ESPAI expert survey, a Redditor notes the typical AI researcher then believed AI wouldn't solve a Millennium math problem until 2054, prove publishable theorems until almost 2040, or find and patch a security flaw in a 100k+ user system until the early 2030s — timelines recent AI progress appears to have dramatically outrun.
Related event: OpenAI's Navier-Stokes result beats expert forecasts by ~30 years(6 posts)→
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