Economists Warn: Don't Read "AI Hurts Wages" Papers Without the Treatment/Control Averages
paulnovosad · x · 2026-09-16
Economist paulnovosad cautions that "negative wage/employment effects of AI" papers must be read very carefully: the same result can be presented two ways, and dynamic DiD plots alone can suggest AI-exposed workers' wages are declining when he would not conclude they're worse off.
EmilVerner adds the methodological rule: always show treatment/control averages, not just dynamic DiD estimates — example #104.
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