Skeptic challenges AI doomers: show the causal chain and per-link probabilities
CriticalZaku · x · 2026-09-16
CriticalZaku argues that until AI doomers spell out the actual chain of events leading to doom — assigning a conjunctive probability to each link to justify their large p(doom) numbers — he remains skeptical. Treating doom as deterministic once AGI is achieved, he says, doesn't pass credulity.
Related event: Skeptics Demand Doomers Quantify Each Link in AI Catastrophe Chains(2 posts)→
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