Rogue AI would need to kill 6 million people a day for Eliezer to win his bet
davidmanheim · x · 2026-09-16
archerships quantifies the doom debate: for Eliezer to win his deadline bet, rogue AIs would have to kill at least 6 million people per day from now on. davidmanheim concedes the 2017 2:1 bet looks far better for Eliezer post-GPT-1.
Related event: AI doom debate reignites over risk bets(3 posts)→
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