Oxford report: many international AI agreements are verifiable without speculative tech

davidmanheim · x · 2026-09-15

David Manheim shares the Oxford Martin AIGI report on verification for international AI governance. Under deliberately pessimistic technical and political assumptions, it finds that verification of many international AI agreements is possible without speculative advances — some using existing hardware, others requiring major investments in verification infrastructure. Manheim also sketches his strategy for a global ASI-risk treaty: propose it, show it aligns with everyone's incentives, and don't give up preemptively.

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