Animated graphs make the point: forecasting S-curves is hard, daily figures won't help
ShenRaphael · x · 2026-09-15
Researcher clcrozier spent an embarrassing amount of time learning animated graphing to illustrate a fairly obvious point: forecasting S-curves is hard.
The argument: carefully following daily figures is unlikely to provide real insight—early S-curve growth is indistinguishable from linear/exponential trends, and inflection points only become clear in hindsight. The author built custom animations to show why day-by-day tracking misleads.
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