Noam's 2-year-old bet that general models would beat humans on a benchmark pays off
GregKamradt · x · 2026-09-15
GregKamradt's 2-year-old reminder came due: two days after the o1-preview blog post, Noam bet that general models would exceed human performance on a benchmark within two years. Kamradt says the bet landed, and everyone's timelines—including Noam's—have since stretched longer.
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