Stop debating p(doom) numbers — argue over the function that produces them, says Shan Rizvi
ShanRizvi · x · 2026-09-15
Shan Rizvi argues that p(doom) is an output, not the interesting question. The real debate should target the function producing it — f(a,b,c...z) → doom — examining which variables matter, how they interact, and the probability distribution over possible worlds. In other words: share your model of doom, not just your number.
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