Largest long-running survey of AI researchers tracks shifting expert opinion since 2016
KatjaGrace · x · 2026-09-15
KatjaGrace, an independent researcher, runs the largest and longest-running peer-reviewed survey of AI researchers (since 2016), covering experts publishing at top ML/AI venues. Multi-year data show two trends:
- Researchers' timelines to human-level AI have shrunk fast;
- Extinction-level risk concerns have long been present and are trending upward.
Overlaps heavily with other posts in the same thread.
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