What if scientific progress scales like log(compute)?
shyamalanadkat · x · 2026-09-15
Google researcher Stephan Hoyer (creator of xarray) poses an open question: what if the rate of scientific progress scales like log(compute)?
The one-liner echoes scaling-law debates — if returns diminish logarithmically, even exponential compute investment would yield far flatter gains in scientific output. A core point of contention in AGI-timeline arguments.
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