Bayesian Case: Covid's Extinction Risk Likely Higher Than AI's, Argues Skeptic
soumitrashukla9 · x · 2026-09-15
SK Miners offers a Bayesian argument that p(extinction) from Covid is almost certainly higher than from AI, since Covid currently exists, keeps mutating, and remains highly infectious — yet nobody gives speeches advocating next-wave vaccines or better infection prevention. Quoting arampell's jab that the panic is 'six feet to stop the spread' all over again, except 'killer AI' doesn't exist while Covid did, the thread frames AI doom discourse as pseudo-science and virtue signaling, invoking Dario Amodei's 2019 claim that GPT-2 was too dangerous to release.
Related event: Virologist Slams AI Doom Probability Claims as Sci-Fi, Not Science(3 posts)→
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