Why a Real AI Slowdown Between US and China Is Unlikely to Happen
timigod · x · 2026-09-14
The author argues that in the US-China AI race, both sides see internal risks but view falling further behind as the bigger threat, so neither is incentivized to accept a US-brokered "verifiable" slowdown. Since the lagging side is already export-controlled, it's actually the US that needs the other to slow down — and the likeliest outcome is a vague high-level agreement followed by business as usual.
Related event: Game Theory Explains Why AI Slowdown Pledges Are Doomed(4 posts)→
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