Memory wall chart: compute up ~3x per two years, HBM bandwidth under 2x

Summit-Star001 · reddit · 2026-09-14

From Raghu Sreeramanenei's memory tutorial at Hot Chips 2026: normalized compute (TPU v3 through R200) grows 3x every two years while HBM bandwidth (HBM2e through HBM4) grows under 2x — and the log scale hides the widening gap. Three fixes are in flight: memory beside compute, memory closer on shorter links, and multiply units inside memory itself. Samsung's approach already ships in LPDDR5X, measuring 3.01x tokens/sec on Llama 3.1 8B.

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