Polymarket Puts AI Bubble Burst Odds at Just 13% by End of 2026 in $2.9M Market
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-14
Polymarket's "AI bubble burst by Dec 31, 2026" market has drawn $2.9M in volume, with "Yes" trading at just 13%. Resolution requires at least three triggers within 90 days: NVIDIA -50% from ATH, SOXX -40%, OpenAI or Anthropic bankruptcy, an OpenAI acquisition, H100 rental prices at $1.00 or below for five consecutive days, or a 50% collapse in TSMC/ASML/Broadcom/Arista/SMCI stock.
The post also quotes Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella calling for "deliberate pacing" of advanced AI to keep it aligned and under human control — an interesting counterpoint to the market's low bubble odds.
Related event: Polymarket Bets Against AI Bubble Bursting Before End of 2026(8 posts)→
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