Polymarket puts 66% odds on Anthropic IPO closing above $2 trillion
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-14
- On Polymarket, the contract for "Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2 trillion" trades at roughly 66% odds, with $744K in volume through Dec 31, 2027.
- The distribution favors the $2.0–2.5T range (44% combined); "no IPO by end of 2027" sits at only 2.6%.
- The post also cites reports that Anthropic told shareholders it will stay profitable for a second straight quarter, with gross margins above 80% — a rare feat among frontier AI labs that helps explain the lofty valuation bets.
More from Venture
- Community operator shares 80%+ renewal rates and members' $50k/month milestones — gefei55 · 2026-10-30
- Reddit shares crash 26.12% in a single day, Polymarket reports — Polymarket · 2026-10-30
- AI short film Nexus ep 7 cost $28,775 to make, creator shares full breakdown — NightsRadiant · 2026-10-30
- China's STAR 50 down ~40% from July peak, erasing ~$480B as Unitree halves since IPO — sudoraohacker · 2026-10-30
- Nearly $1 Trillion Wiped From US Stocks at Open as AI Chip Stocks Lead Selloff — CurieuxExplorer · 2026-10-30
- Anthropic eyes $2T valuation on $100B raise, with $431B compute commitments and circular vendor financing — LexSokolin · 2026-10-30