Yudkowsky's lottery analogy: we know superintelligence won't want to keep you alive

inductionheads · x · 2026-09-14

Eliezer Yudkowsky distills his doomer logic with a lottery analogy: just as you can be certain a lottery ticket will lose without knowing the winning number, uncertainty about what machine superintelligence wants is itself proof it won't want to keep you alive.

The reposter challenges this, framing it as the entire foundation of doomerism — capturing the ongoing dispute over the structure of Yudkowsky's AI safety arguments.

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