From 'AI will replace radiologists in 5 years' to 25% extinction risk: predictions inflate, evidence doesn't
DimaKrotov · x · 2026-09-13
In 2016 the claim was 'AI will replace radiologists within 5 years'; in 2026, demand for radiologists remains high. Now the narrative has escalated to 'AI has a 25% chance of causing human extinction.' The author argues AI predictions keep getting bigger — from job replacement to species extinction — while the evidence doesn't, and asks why the field keeps doing this to itself.
Related event: Hinton's Failed Radiologist Prediction Becomes AI Meme(3 posts)→
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