Polymarket puts just 4% odds on Dario Amodei leaving Anthropic CEO before IPO
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-13
Polymarket launched a market on whether Dario Amodei will be out as Anthropic CEO before its IPO, currently trading at just 4% — traders strongly expect him to stay. Resolution rules: if no IPO by Dec 31, 2027, it settles on his status that day; resignations followed by a return, or announced-but-not-effective changes, don't count.
Context: Amodei recently proposed a US-China "speed limit" on recursive AI self-improvement, likening it to Cold War arms agreements.
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