jd_pressman: the AGI bottleneck is institutional, not alignment progress

jd_pressman · x · 2026-09-12

Responding to Roko Mijic's claim that human expected utility is dominated by P(Banksian Culture), jdpressman argues that the 50%-ish outcome mostly does not route through alignment progress as the core bottleneck — the bottleneck is institutional. Together with Roko's original take, it's a short debate on where existential risk reduction should focus.

Related event: AI safety researchers debate p(doom): jd_pressman breaks down extinction probabilities(5 posts)→

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