Researcher breaks down p(doom), puts AI extinction near 15%

jdpressman argues p(doom) is a distorted concept, offering a rough subjective breakdown including 99% 'existential ennui' and 15% odds of AI-driven successor extinction, while suggesting sociability could defuse paperclip-style risks.

2026-09-12 ~ 2026-09-12 · 2 related posts

• Researcher breaks down p(doom): puts AI successor-species extinction odds at ~15% — jd_pressman · 2026-09-12
• jd_pressman breaks down p(doom), argues socialization tendency defuses paperclipper risk — jd_pressman · 2026-09-12