Roko argues human expected utility hinges on P(Banksian Culture), not alignment

RokoMijic · x · 2026-09-12

In an exchange with jdpressman, Roko Mijic argues that humanity's expected utility is dominated by the probability of achieving a Banksian Culture, and that different modes of extermination or aging matter little by comparison. jdpressman pushes back that the 50%-ish bottleneck is institutional rather than alignment progress itself.

Related event: AI safety researchers debate p(doom): jd_pressman breaks down extinction probabilities(5 posts)→

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