Researcher breaks down p(doom): puts AI successor-species extinction odds at ~15%
jd_pressman · x · 2026-09-12
Responding to a p(doom) question, jdpressman argues the concept is warped and lists his rough personal probabilities: existential ennui 99%, no immortalist utopia 50%, fertility-decline replacement 70%, wiped out by an AI successor species 15% (raised after recent loss-of-control incidents), paperclipper scenarios only 1-5%. He links his earlier essay arguing HF agents are too emotive to be classic paperclippers.
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