Polymarket puts AI bubble burst odds at just 12% through end of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-12
Polymarket's "AI bubble burst" market ($2.96M volume) prices only a 12% chance of an industry downturn by Dec 31, 2026. Resolution requires at least three triggers within 90 days: NVDA down 50% from ATH, SOXX down 40%, OpenAI/Anthropic bankruptcy, OpenAI acquired, H100 rental at $1.00 for five days, or a major AI hardware supplier down 50%. The post also quotes departing Anthropic safety researcher Joe Benton warning labs are underinvesting in safety.
Related event: Polymarket Prices AI Bubble Burst Odds at Just 12% Before End of 2026(3 posts)→
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