Doomer logic dissected: why only Anthropic may 'responsibly' build ASI, and why LLaMA once got the same ire
teortaxesTex · x · 2026-09-12
teortaxesTex dissects the "doomer-industrial complex": the assumption that only Western labs (really only Anthropic) could responsibly build ASI isn't necessary for the race-vs-China argument. He notes doomers once raged just as hard about Meta's LLaMA and even Falcon-40B releases, since the core logic is fewer actors = less race dynamics = fewer uncorrelated errors = lower aggregate P(Doom). They dismiss power-concentration objections because their prior on US-concentrated power is positive, and on Anthropic mildly negative to wildly positive. A follow-up frames Dario's plan as getting ahead in AGI to compel rivals to stop before ASI.
Related event: Debate over AGI race logic: controllable superweapon vs default doom(2 posts)→
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