Polymarket puts 24% odds on US AI safety bill before 2027
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-12
Polymarket's contract on the US enacting an AI safety bill before 2027 trades at 24% with $102,665 in volume. Resolution requires federal legislation including at least one of: bans on creating/releasing specific AI systems, training restrictions (data access or parameter caps), usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements. Context: bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Ted Cruz, Amy Klobuchar, and John Thune remain the most viable vehicle, with disputes over federal preemption of state laws.
Related event: Polymarket Traders Put Just 14% Odds on US AI Safety Bill Passing This Year(5 posts)→
More from Safety
- Outsider with no GitHub role deleted Dodo Payments' private repo, audit log shows — kingslyj · 2026-10-28
- OpenAI researcher: frontier AI ideas can't be patched for safety after the fact — willdepue · 2026-10-28
- Altman: models will find bugs 'outside the normal threat model' and patching won't save us — wfithian · 2026-10-28
- Report claims Anthropic Slack breach gave attackers full admin access to research secrets — willdepue · 2026-10-28
- Codex scans your connectors/MCPs unprompted in the background, and you can't tell — kenziyuliu · 2026-10-28
- Claude analysis flags TikTok and Instagram for allegedly bypassing mic permissions — thunderbong · 2026-10-28