Researcher estimates ~50% chance superintelligence kills everyone, sparks pushback

TinfoilTricorn · x · 2026-09-11

geoffreyirving wrote on X that he puts roughly 50% probability on everyone dying as a result of superintelligence, mostly due to actions in the next few to 10 years, and doesn't expect the estimate to move below 10% or above 90% before the outcome is decided — arguing we must act despite uncertainty. A reply dismissively framed such 'action' as enabling enslavement.

Related event: AI safety researcher Geoffrey Irving puts extinction-from-superintelligence odds at ~50%(6 posts)→

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