Can humanity ever agree on ASI safeguards? US-China distrust makes it near-impossible
AIandDesign · x · 2026-09-11
The author asks how humanity could implement globally agreed safeguards for developing ASI, and concludes it's hard to imagine working.
- Not a risk denial argument: the problem is trust — the US and China won't believe each other's promises not to secretly pursue banned research.
- The theoretical fix of embedding Americans in Chinese AI labs (and vice versa) seems politically impossible.
- The author also doubts Western self-regulation: DARPA and military agencies would likely continue in secrecy, so regulation may do more harm than good.
- The author admits deep distrust of any government and invites discussion.
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