Polymarket puts 26% odds on a US federal AI safety bill before 2027
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-11
Polymarket's market on a US federal AI safety bill before 2027 trades at 26% ($102,637 volume). The bill must include at least one of: creation/release prohibitions, training restrictions, usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements. Context: an OpenAI recursive self-improvement researcher warned of a 70% 'human extinction' chance in 3 years without coordinated slowdown; a bipartisan bill from Sens. Klobuchar, Cruz, and Thune may be introduced mid-September.
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