OpenAI recursive self-improvement researcher warns of 70% 'human extinction' odds in 3 years

Polymarket · x · 2026-09-11

Per Polymarket: a researcher working on recursive self-improvement at OpenAI warns there is a 70% chance of "human extinction" within 3 years unless AI labs coordinate a slowdown in development.

One of the most aggressive internal-lab statements on extinction risk to date.

Related event: Top Lab Insiders Warn of AI Extinction as Coxon's Resignation Post Tops 160M Views(23 posts)→

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