Why a 3-5 year AI pause wouldn't shift timelines: China won't stop and compute bottlenecks persist
menhguin · x · 2026-09-10
The author explains he doesn't support an AI pause, mostly for logistical reasons: China obviously won't pause, and even a 3-5 year global pause wouldn't shift long-term timelines much since deployment and compute bottlenecks would take that long to resolve anyway—plus enforcement is infeasible. This builds on his earlier point that pause advocates lack defined resumption criteria, suggesting they effectively mean stop.
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