Ben Todd's forecast recap: FrontierMath at 94%, LiveCodeBench Pro at 53% — all beaten
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-09-10
- A quote-chain in Ben Todd's thread restating that FrontierMath blew past his 32% forecast (now 94%), with LiveCodeBench Pro hitting 53% in 2025 versus his above-consensus 23% call — everyone systematically underestimated AI progress.
Related event: Ben Todd's Forecast Review: Everyone Is Underestimating AI Progress(6 posts)→
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