Ben Todd: AI-assisted tasks hit 5.7% vs 4% expected, but GDP growth still flat
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-09-10
- Ben Todd notes AI diffusion was also underestimated: most forecasters expected 4% of tasks AI-assisted by end of 2025, actual was 5.7%; his 12% by 2027 forecast may still be on track.
- He agrees with other forecasters that no large uptick in GDP growth is visible yet.
Related event: Ben Todd's Forecast Review: Everyone Is Underestimating AI Progress(6 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- LukeW: Technology Limits Are Temporary — and AI Skeptics Are Already Feeling It — LukeW · 2026-10-27
- GiveDirectly pilots an optional AI chatbot alongside cash aid in Rwanda — NathanpmYoung · 2026-10-27
- Ex-Anthropic employee essay: the org optimizes for power 'constrained by being seen as the good guys' — RichardMCNgo · 2026-10-27
- Investor: model version numbers are a mirage, only datacenter margins are real — StewartalsopIII · 2026-10-27
- WSJ Op-Ed: For Anthropic Share Offering Investors, a 10% Extinction Chance May Be a 90% Portfolio Win — davidmanheim · 2026-10-27
- WSJ: for Anthropic investors, a 10% extinction chance may still be a 90% portfolio win — peterwildeford · 2026-10-27