Dinner bet with Noam Brown: AI to solve a Millennium Problem by 2030, but not P vs NP
multiply_matrix · x · 2026-09-10
The author recalls a March 8, 2024 dinner with Noam Brown and others, where Brown bet that AI would solve a Millennium Problem by 2030. The author's own forecast that night: AI could crack one of the easier Millennium Problems by 2030, but not a hard one like P vs NP. He adds that the closer we get to understanding reality, the higher our p(doom).
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