Anthropic staffer: >10% chance AI kills all humans within a decade, no alignment plan yet

JMannhart · x · 2026-09-10

A viral analogy: if CERN's head of security said there was a >10% chance of a destructive black hole in the next 10 years, how would the world react? AI is in a similar position.

The quoted Anthropic staffer (Evan Hubinger) states plainly: "We really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans—I personally think it is >10% within the next decade. I believe Anthropic is trying its best, but we do not yet have a plan to solve alignment for superintelligence and are not clearly on track to."

Related event: Anthropic researcher estimates over 10% chance AI wipes out humanity within a decade(9 posts)→

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