Researchers bet on robot timelines: under 20% in manual jobs before 2035, they argue
binarybits · x · 2026-09-10
A debate over robot capability: davidmanheim predicts it's very unlikely robots hit 20% share in jobs like cooking, stocking, housekeeping, bricklaying or trash collecting before 2035. binarybits counters that capability includes reliability and cost — a $1M robot needing frequent repairs isn't capable; manheim argues union blockage doesn't negate capability.
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