Gary Marcus: frontier labs bet 90% odds of riches against 10% odds everyone dies

GaryMarcus · x · 2026-09-09

Gary Marcus calls frontier labs' risk math "certifiably insane": by their own numbers they take a 90% chance of getting rich over a 10% chance everyone, including themselves, is dead. He doubts extinction is that likely but says catastrophe odds are high, and questions why labs show no concern for their own safety.

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