AI-driven economy could double in about a year, input-output table analysis finds
johnowhitaker · x · 2026-09-09
Damon Binder's 36-minute 'AI Industrial Explosion' essay uses US input-output tables to compute the maximum sustainable growth rate of a fully automated AI economy: about one doubling per year, robust to resource depletion and construction lags, and under two years at moderate savings rates. johnowhitaker notes the prediction is timeline-sensitive: at a 6-month humanoid doubling time, only 10M humanoids by 2030, mostly diverted into making more robots.
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