Smarter Bayesian agent cuts decision cost 3x but raises total cost

aestheticcode · reddit · 2026-09-09

A developer building a Bayesian triage agent found a counterintuitive result: a value-of-information policy cut decision cost 3x and improved precision over a fixed-threshold baseline, but its total cost (decision + evidence gathering) was higher because it bought more evidence for ambiguous cases. They ask whether this tradeoff appears in real production systems or signals a modeling flaw.

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