AI is the only field where progress keeps outpacing expert predictions
ZeroStateReflex · x · 2026-09-09
@AISafetyMemes highlights a reversal: in most industries, experts predict world-changing tech is 2 years away, then realize it's 10. In AI alone, nearly everyone is shocked by the speed of development.
The post cites @dioscuri: as recently as April, prediction markets gave AI under 40% odds of solving any Millennium Prize Problem before 2030. The author notes AI 2027 as the famous exception that is "right on track."
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