Hinton Admits Radiologist Prediction Was Wrong: Jevons Paradox and Misreading the Job
robleclerc · x · 2026-09-09
Dan Jeffries argues Hinton finally admitted his famous 2016 prediction that radiologists would be obsolete in five years was wrong, because he misunderstood 1) Jevons Paradox — cheaper and easier imaging means demand explodes — and 2) what radiologists actually do. Jeffries extends the point: domain geniuses are rarely best placed to predict their field's societal impact, and suggests the same may apply to Hinton's warnings about AI risk.
Related event: Hinton Admits He Was Wrong: AI Replaces Tasks, Not Radiologists(3 posts)→
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