Anthropic's alignment science lead puts >10% odds on AI killing all humans within a decade

Polymarket · x · 2026-09-09

Anthropic's alignment science lead says he believes there's a greater than 10% chance AI kills all humans within the next decade, while assuring that "Anthropic is trying its best." A rare quantitative extinction-risk estimate from a frontier lab insider, likely to reignite criticism of labs building the very systems they warn about.

Related event: Anthropic Alignment Lead Estimates Over 10% Odds of AI Extinction Within a Decade(18 posts)→

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