AI outpacing expert forecasters: LEAP panel gave just 10% odds of solving a Millennium Problem by 2027
eldonredwards · x · 2026-09-09
- Ethan Mollick notes that AI progress is beating the expectations of the best forecasters.
- The cited Nov 2025 LEAP panel of AI experts and superforecasters assigned only a 10% chance of AI helping solve a Millennium Problem by 2027, with one expert quoting the Clay Mathematics Institute president's June 2025 claim that AI is "very far away" from saying anything serious about those problems—yet recent AI-assisted math breakthroughs are rapidly challenging those forecasts.
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