Polymarket puts AI bubble burst odds at 11%; OECD finds heavy AI users score 28 points lower
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-08
Two items: Polymarket's "AI bubble burst by 2026" market ($2.95M volume) prices Yes at just 11%, with resolution requiring at least three of: NVDA -50%, SOXX -40%, OpenAI/Anthropic bankruptcy or OpenAI acquisition, H100 rental at $1 for 5 days, or a major AI hardware supplier down 50%. Separately, an OECD report finds students who heavily use AI for writing scored 28 points lower on science tests than peers who rarely or never use it.
Related event: OECD: Heavy AI Use in Homework Tied to Lower Science Scores(2 posts)→
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