Polymarket gives Oura's IPO 41% odds of closing above $20 billion

Polymarket · x · 2026-09-08

Polymarket has launched a prediction market on Oura's first-day closing market cap, with over $416K already traded. "Above $20B" leads at 41%, followed by $15B–$17.5B (30%), $17.5B–$20B (20%), and $12.5B–$15B (11%); a valuation under $7.5B is priced below 1%. The market resolves on the closing price of the first trading day, with a fallback resolution if no IPO occurs by end of 2026. A quoted update notes Robinhood will serve as an underwriter for Oura's IPO, its first official underwriting role.

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