Polymarket odds: Meta just 11% to have top AI model by year-end, OpenAI leads at 31%
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-08
Polymarket's prediction market on which company will hold the #1 AI model by December 31, 2026 shows OpenAI leading at 31%, followed by Google at 23% and xAI at 13%. Meta sits at just 11%, tied with Z.ai. Among Chinese labs, Alibaba is at 12%, Moonshot 9%, ByteDance 8%, Baidu 7%, and DeepSeek only 6%. The market has roughly $144K in total volume. The post also notes Meta remotely disabled photo and video recording on thousands of smart glasses that were tampered with to hide their recording indicator lights.
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