Polymarket Puts 11% Odds on AI Bubble Bursting Before End of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-08
Polymarket's market on whether the AI industry suffers a downturn by Dec 31, 2026 trades at just 11-12% Yes with $3M volume. Resolution requires three of: NVDA down 50% from ATH, SOXX down 40%, OpenAI/Anthropic bankruptcy or OpenAI acquisition, H100 rental price at $1 or below for five days, or a 50% crash in TSMC/ASML/Broadcom/Arista/SMCI. The market consensus: no bust this year.
Related event: Polymarket bets only 11% chance of AI bubble bursting by 2026(4 posts)→
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