$70 to 70 cents: dev predicts AI video costs will fall 10x a year as small models write good code
menhguin · x · 2026-09-07
Developer menhguin argues AI capability should be judged by its slope, not its current state:
- Watching a few minutes of AI video costs $70 today, but he predicts $7 next year and $0.70 the year after — roughly 10x annual cost decline with no complex setup.
- He contrasts 2022, when LLMs were cost-inefficient beyond labeling/copywriting, with 2026, where 100x improvements from hillclimbing tasks mean small models now write very good code.
Related event: Developer charts 100x gains for small models and plunging AI video costs(2 posts)→
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