Polymarket gives Tesla's California Cybercab launch by year-end just 23% odds
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-07
Polymarket puts only 23% odds on Tesla launching a driverless robotaxi service in California by December 31, despite Musk describing Cybercab as 'some combination of Airbnb and Uber' where owners add or remove cars from the fleet. Traders note Tesla holds only a basic DMV testing permit requiring safety drivers, lacks the CPUC authorizations for commercial driverless service, and has prioritized unsupervised deployments in Texas and Florida — while Waymo's fully autonomous fleet spans 18 counties.
Related event: Polymarket Prices Tesla's 2026 California Robotaxi Launch at ~23%(2 posts)→
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